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ij????, ?߽??? ?̾? ????° ?ݸ??λ??? ??[????=???ý?] 16??(?????ð?) ?̱? ?߾??????? ?????غ?????(Fed)?? ???رݸ??? 0.00~0.25%?? ?????ߴ?. ???? ??????????(GDP)?? 7.0%?? 3?? ????(6.5%) ???? ?????ߴ?. (????=?????? ????)hokma@newsis.com[????=???ý?] ?????? ???? = ?ڷγ?19 ???? ?????? ???????鼭 ???Ⱑ ȸ?? ???鿡 ???????? ???÷??̼? ?????? Ŀ???鼭 ?? ???? ?߾????൵ ?ݸ? ????ȭ?? ???? ???????? ???̰? ?ִ?. Ư?? ?̱??? ?ֱ? ?ݸ? ?λ? ?ñ⸦ ?մ??? ?? ?ִٴ? ?????? ?????鼭 ???? ?????? ?ݸ? ????ȭ ?ӵ??? ?????? ?????? ?????ȴ?. ?츮?????? ???? ?????? ?ֿ䱹 ?? ?̹? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ??? ij????, ?߽??ڿ? ?̾? ?? ??°?? ?ƽþƿ????? ù ??°?? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ???? ???ɼ??? ???ٴ? ?????? ?????ǰ? ?ִ?. 27?? ???????? ? ?????? ?ڷγ?19 ?ҵ??? ???? ???? ???? ?ݸ??λ??? ??ȣź?? ?? ?????? ij???ٴ?. ij???? ?߾?????(BOC)?? ???? 4?? ??ȭ??åȸ?ǿ??? ?ֿ?7????(G7) ?? ó?????? ?????۸?(?ڻ????? ????) ?????ϰڴٰ? ??????. ?????۸??? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ??ȣź???? ?Ҹ??µ?, ?ְ? ??ä ???? ?Ը??? ???? 40?? ij???ٴ????? 30?? ij???ٴ??? 4???? 1?? ???̴? ?????̴?. ?ٸ?, ???رݸ? ?λ??? ???ؼ??? ???? ???·??? ?????????? 2%?? ?????ϱ? ???????? ???رݸ??? ?ø??? ?ʰڴٴ? ?????? ???̰? ?ִ?. ?߽??ڵ? ???? 24??(?????ð?) ?????? ???? ?ݸ??λ??? ?????ߴ?. ?߽??? ?߾??????? ?̳? ??ȭ??å ȸ?Ǹ? ???? ???رݸ??? 0.25%????Ʈ ?ø? 4.25%?? ?λ??ߴ?. ?̴? 2018?? 12?? ???? ù ?ݸ? ?λ??̴?. ?߽??? ?߾??????? "?????? ?????? ?ִ? ??Ȳ???? ??ȭ??å?? ??ȭ?? ???????? ???븦 ???ƾ? ?Ѵٰ? ?Ǵ??ߴ?"?? ?????ߴ?. ?߽??ڴ? ?õ??? ???? 6?????? ?????? 6.02% ?ö???.?븣???̵? ?̸??? ???? 9?? ???رݸ??? ?λ??? ?û??ߴ?. ?븣?????߾??????? ????????ũ?? ???? 16?? ???رݸ??? 0%?? ?????ߴ?. ????????ũ?? ???? "?????? ??å ?ݸ??? ?λ??ϴ? ???? ?????? ??"?̶??? "???? 9?? ???رݸ??? ?λ??? ???ɼ??? ?ſ? ũ??"?? ?????ߴ?. ????????ũ?? ?̿? ?ռ? ?̹? ???? 3?б⳪ 4?б? ?ݸ??λ? ??ȹ?? ??ǥ?ߴµ? ?? ???ٴ? ?մ??? ?? ???̴?.[??????=AP/???ý?]???? ?Ŀ? ?̱? ?????غ?????(Fed??????) ?????? 22??(?????ð?) ?Ͽ? ?ڷγ?19 ???? Ư?? ??????ȸ?? ?⼮?? ?߾??ϰ? ?ִ?. ???????嵵 ???رݸ? ?λ? ?ñⰡ ?մ??? ?? ?????? ?????ȴ?. ȣ?ִ???????????(ANZ)?? ???? 5?? Ȥ?? ?̺??? ???? ???رݸ??? ?λ??? ?????? ?????? ???ٺô?. ?̴? ?????? ???? 3?б? ?ݸ??λ??? ?????ߴ? ?ͺ??? ?մ????? ???̴?. ?????? ?̸??? ???ߵ? ?̱??? ???? ???????? 1?? ?մ????? 2023?? ?ϹݱⲲ ?ݸ? ?λ??? ???۵? ?????? ?????ƴ?. ?ٸ?, ?۷ι? ????????(IB)???? ?????۸??? ???? ???Ǹ? ???? 8?? ?轼Ȧ ȸ?ǿ??? ?????? ??, 12?? ?????۸??? ?????? ???ɼ??? ???ٰ? ???? ?ִ?.???? ?Ŀ? ?̱? ?????غ?????(Fed??????) ?????? ???? 15~16??(?????ð?) FOMC ???? ???? ????ȸ?߿??? "?????۸? ?????? ?????? ?߰? ?????? ??Ÿ???????? ???? ?ָ? ?ְ?(a ways away) ?????? ???ӵ? ?????? ?????Ѵ?"?? ?????? ??????. ?̴? "?????۸????? ?????? ?ð?(some time)?? ?ɸ? ??"?̶??? ???? ???忡 ???? ?????? ?????? ???̴?. ?????? ???ؼ??? ???? 4??????????????????ȸ(FOMC)???? "???÷??̼??? ?????????? ??ǥġ?? ??ȸ?ϰ? ?ִ? ???? ?????ߴ?"?? ?ߴ? ?߾??? 6?????? "??ǥġ?? ??ȸ?ߴ?"???? ?????????? ?ٲ???.???忡???? ?̸? ?ΰ? ?????? ???????̶??? ?????ߴ?. ?Ŀ? ?????? ?Ͻ??? ???÷??̼??? ?????ϸ鼭?? ???? ?????? ???? ??(??)???÷? ?????? ?ν??Ѵٰ? ???? ??, 2022?? ?ݸ? ?λ??? ?????? ?????? ?þ ??, ?ҵ??? ???? ???迡 ???? ?ν??? ?????? ?? ???? ??????.?ѱ??? ???? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ?и??? ?ߴ?. ???ֿ? ???? ?????? ???? 24?? '??????????ǥ ???Ȳ ????' ???ڰ???ȸ???? "?????? ??ȭ??å, ?ݸ? ????, ??ȭ ?????? ?ǹ??????? ???ؼ? ???? ?? ?? ?????? ??ȭ??"?̶??? "???? ???? ???? ?????? ?????? ??ȭ???? ??ȭ??å?? ?????ְ? ????ȭ?? ?ʿ䰡 ?ִ?"?? ???ߴ?. ?? ???簡 ?????????? '????'???? ?? ?ھ? ?????? ???? ?̹??? ó???̴?.?ڼ??? ?????????? ?Žð????????????? ?̿? ???? "?̱? ???ذ? ?츮?? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ?ܼ??? ?????ϱ??? ???????? ?? ?????? ?߾??? ???忡 ?ñ׳??? Ȯ???? ???ٴ? ?????? ?Ŀ? ???庸?ٵ? ?ξ? ?? ???????? ?????? ???δ?"?? ?????ߴ?.[????=???ý?]???ֿ? ?ѱ????? ???簡 24?? ???? ?߱? ?ѱ?????? ???? ??????????ǥ ???Ȳ ???? ????ȸ???? ?߾??ϰ? ?ִ?. (????=?ѱ????? ????) 2021.06.24. photo@newsis.com *???Ǹ? ?? DB ?????? ?????? "?̱? FOMC?? ???? ????ǥ ?????? ??Ÿ???? ?????? ?? ???? ???? ?ݸ??λ??? ?????ϴ? ?????? ?þ?? ?? ???????? ?????? ???δ?"?鼭?? "?̿? ???? ?Ŀ? ?????? ?߾??? ???? ???? ???? ??ȣ?? ?? ?? ?ִ? ?????۸??? ???? '???? ?????????? ???? ???Ǹ? ?????ߴ?'?? ???ϴ? ?? ?????۸??? ?û??ϴµ? ??ģ ?ݸ? ?? ?????? ???? '????'???? ???? ?? ?ھ? ?и??? ?ñ׳??? ????"?? ???ߴ?.?״? "???? ???رݸ? ?λ翡 ???? ?????? ???̴????? ?ִ? ?????? ũ?? ?? ???? ?ε?, ?ϳ??? ? ???? ?????? ?????ϸ? ?ϰڴٴ? ?Ű? ?? ?ϳ??? ???? ???? Ķ???? ???̽??? ???⸦ ?ϴ? ??"?̶??? "???? ???????? ?????? ???? ?? ???ұ? ?????? ?ѷ??ϰ? ???忡 ?и??? ?ñ׳??? ?? ?????? ?????? ?????????? ?? ?? ?ִ?"?? ???ߴ?.?̿? ???? ?̹? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ?????? ij????(?????۸?), ?߽??ڿ? ?̾? ????°?? ???رݸ? ?λ??? ?????? ???ɼ??? ???????? ?ִ?. 9???? ?????? ?븣???̳? 12???? ?????? ?̱??? ?????۸? ?ñ⺸?? ???? ?ѱ??? ???رݸ??? ?λ??? ???̶??? ??????.?? ?????? "?츮?????? ???? ?ƽþƿ??? ?????? ?????Ǵ? ?ӵ??? ???? ??????, ???? ???? ?ӵ??? ???? ?? ???⳪ ?????? ??Ȳ ???? ???????? ?? ?ƽþ? ???? ?߿? ?????? ?????? ?? ?ִ? ?? ?? ?ϳ?"???? "???ð??? ???? ???? ?ڻ????? ???? ?????? Ŀ???? ?־? ??å ??ȯ?? ?????? ?ٸ? ?????麸?? ū ??ŭ ?ƽþƿ??? ???? ???? ?λ??ϴ? ???? ?翬?? ????"?̶??? ???ߴ?. ?λ? ?????? ???ؼ??? "?ݸ??λ? ?ñ??? 7?? ?????????? ?Ҽ??ǰ??? ?????????? ???? ??Ȯ?? ?? ???? ?????? ???ݱ????? ?ñ׳??? ?????? ???? 8?? ?????????? ?ݸ??? ?λ??ص? ũ?? ?????? ???? ??"?̶??? ???ߴ?.
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